The draft Gaza ceasefire and hostage release deal currently being discussed by Israel and Hamas in indirect talks in Doha has been on the table since May.
So why is there a new prediction that it might work, after it had been frozen for eight months of the war?
There are some things that have changed - both politically and on the ground.
The first is the election of Donald Trump as the next president of the USA, Telegraph reports.
He has threatened that "hell will happen" if the hostages are not released before he takes office on January 20.
Hamas may well read it as a sign that even the tenuous reins the Biden administration used to restrain the Israeli government will be lifted, though it's hard to imagine what that might mean for a territory already so devastated by 15 months war.
Israel is also feeling pressure from the incoming president to end the conflict in Gaza, which threatens to interfere with Trump's hopes of securing a broader regional deal and his desired image as a president who ends them. wars.
On the other hand, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu faces constant pressure from his far-right coalition allies to continue the fight.
But Trump could also be an asset to him in convincing his allies to swallow the deal and stay in government; the new US president, and the man he chose as Israeli ambassador, are seen as supporters of Israeli settlements in the occupied West Bank, which Israel's far-right Finance Minister, Bezalel Smotrich, has said he wants to annex.
But after a meeting with the prime minister last night, Smotrich appeared defiant, writing on social media that the current deal was "a disaster" for Israel's national security, and that he would not support it.
However, some in Israel believe that both Smotrich and his far-right ally, National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir, see their current role in Israel's government as their best chance to cement control. over the West Bank, especially with Trump back in the White House, and that they are unlikely to follow through on their threats to quit.
The second thing that has changed is the increasing pressure on Netanyahu from his military establishment.
Key figures are widely reported to have repeatedly challenged him on declining military intentions to continue the war, following the killing of senior Hamas leadership and the destruction of Gaza.
Last week, 10 Israeli soldiers were killed in Gaza, shining a spotlight on the costs of the war on Israel and the lingering question of whether the "total victory" over Hamas that Netanyahu has promised is achievable.
Some analysts now suggest that Hamas is rebuilding faster than Israel is defeating it, and therefore Israel needs to rethink its strategy.
And there is a third – regional – difference that plays into changing expectations here as well: the weakening and erosion of Hamas's allies in Iran's "Axis of Resistance," from Hezbollah in Lebanon to Bashar al-Assad in Syria, along with the assassination of Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar in Gaza.
For all these reasons, now is seen as the best chance in months to bridge the gaps between Israel and Hamas and end the war.
What hasn't changed in the eight months since the last negotiations are the gaps between them.
Key among them is a direct conflict between the key concern of Hamas, which wants to end the war, and that of Israel, which wants to keep the door open for a resumption of conflict, whether for political or military reasons.
The deal, as outlined by President Joe Biden in May, is divided into three phases, with a permanent ceasefire taking effect only in the second phase.
Success now likely depends on whether guarantees can be found to allay Hamas's fears that Israel will withdraw from the deal after the first phase of hostage release.
Questions of how to administer the territory from which Israel withdraws are also unclear at this stage.
But the web of diplomacy that has crisscrossed the region over the past week, and the fact that Netanyahu has sent the heads of Israeli security agencies to the Doha talks, along with a key political adviser, are encouraging signs.
So is the departure to Doha of the coordinator of Palestinian prisoners, Qadoura Fares.
The deal has yet to be done – and talks have failed before.
This old agreement is fueling new hopes in part because the negotiations are taking place in a new regional context, with increasing pressures both from within and from key allies abroad. /Telegraph/
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